NEW DELHI: A leading Indian defence expert has projected that China will attack India by 2012 to divert the attention of its own people from “unprecedented” internal dissent, growing unemployment and financial problems that are threatening the hold of Communists in that country.
“China will launch an attack on India before 2012. There are multiple reasons for a desperate Beijing to teach India the final lesson, thereby ensuring Chinese supremacy in Asia in this century,” Bharat Verma, the editor of the Indian Defence Review, said.
He said the recession had “shut the Chinese exports shop”, creating an “unprecedented internal social unrest”, which in turn, was severely threatening the grip of the Communists over the society.
Among other reasons for this assessment were rising unemployment, flight of capital worth billions of dollars, depletion of its foreign exchange reserves and growing internal dissent, Verma said in an editorial in the forthcoming issue of the defence journal.
“Concerns of Chinese Communists are best addressed by waging a war against pacifist India to achieve multiple strategic objectives,” he said. He said it would be “unwise” at this point of time for China to move against the Western interests, including Japan. “Therefore, the most attractive option is to attack a soft target like India and forcibly occupy its territory in the northeast,” Verma said.
But India is “least prepared” on ground to face the Chinese threat, he said. “Pacifist India is not ready by a long shot, either on the internal or the external front,” he said. In view of the “imminent threat” posed by China, “the quickest way to swing out of pacifism to a state of assertion is by injecting military thinking in the civil administration to build the sinews. That will enormously increase the deliverables on ground — from Lalgarh to Tawang,” he said.