‘India likely to face more Mumbai-style attacks’


* RAND Corporation releases report titled ‘The Lessons of Mumbai’, says attacks likely to inspire more terrorists
* Says attacks targetted people and facilities with ‘emotional, political value’

The Mumbai attacks suggest the possibility of an escalating terrorist campaign in South Asia, and “India can expect more attacks with high body counts and symbolic targets”, a study by the RAND Corporation – a leading US think-tank – has predicted.

The RAND study, part-funded by the Pentagon, identifies the tactical features of the military-style Mumbai attacks – “planning for which may have begun way back in 2007” – also highlights weaknesses in India’s counter-terrorism structure and weighs in on the implications of the attacks for India, Pakistan and the US.

“India will continue to face a serious jihadist threat from Pakistan-based terrorist groups, and neither Indian nor US policy is likely to reduce that threat in the near future,” said Angel Rabasa – lead author of the study and a political scientist with RAND.

Inspiration: “Other extremist groups in Pakistan likely will find inspiration in the Mumbai attacks, and we can expect more attacks with high body counts and symbolic targets.”

According to researchers, the selection of multiple targets – Americans, Britons and Jews, as well as Indians – suggests that the terrorists intended the attack to serve ‘multiple objectives’ that extended beyond their ‘previous linear focus on Kashmir’.

Target: “The goal was not only to slaughter as many people as they could, but to target specific groups of people and facilities with political, cultural and emotional value. This indicates a level of strategic thought – a strategic culture – that poses a difficult challenge: not whether we can outgun the terrorists, but can we outthink them?” said Brian Michael Jenkins, a senior adviser at RAND.

Former US ambassador to India Robert Blackwill; Ashley Tellis, a senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; and five other South Asia experts have contributed to the study.

India holds the Lashkar-e-Tayyaba (LT) responsible for the attacks and is looking for a way to punish Pakistan to deter future attacks.

The report acknowledges that both countries have nuclear weapons, making any military action ‘a dangerous course’, but warns if India does not respond, that “would signal a lack of Indian resolve or capability”.

“Without an appropriate response, Pakistan, or at least those elements of its military and intelligence leadership that are supportive of the activities of groups like the LT, are likely to conclude that these operations, in some measure, yield benefits that exceed the cost,” said RAND while releasing the study titled ‘The Lessons of Mumbai’.

For these and other reasons, US researchers say, India is likely to remain a “target of Pakistan-based and indigenous Islamist terrorism”.

The US think-tank also says the focus on Pakistan should not obscure the fact that the terrorists likely had help from inside India. “Local radicalisation is a major goal of the terrorists, and will be a major political and social challenge for India,” it warned.

Source: Daily Times, 21-Jan-09

1 thought on “‘India likely to face more Mumbai-style attacks’”

  1. History of Sindhu RIVER and SINDHU Sanskruti is ancient. And it goes back to vedic times. People living near those rivers are aware of those all History, facts and believes.

    SINDHI is pronounced as INDUS but actually is SAPTA SINDHU RIVER. And SAPTA SINDHU Avrohan (descend from Himalaya) is not just any of Mythology but perfect science fact.

    What is SAPTA SINDHU RIVER? As we count those rivers as SINDHU (INDUS) originates from west KAILASH region. And drain to Kashmir valley to PANJAB it meets with other five rivers of Panjab nnmed as RAVI, CHINAB, JELUM SATLAJ and BIYAS.

    But that’s the 1+5 =6 ONLY then why SEVAN RIVERS of SAPTA SINDHU? The seventh was SARASVATI which now dried river bed as a remnant as GAGGAR HAKARA river of Rajasthan. As land area of the river bed has been uplifted and diverted the water flows to other channels. So it was SAPTA SINDHU (seven rivers).

    Peoples staying on the river banks are aware of all the facts and reality and also with mythology. It has been said that the SAPTA SINDHU is a pious river and it has descended to clear all dirt and SINs to make the land pious and fertile and free of SINs and sinners.

    Scientific fact is that as river NILE , GANGA- YAMUNA and Brahmputra, SAPTA SINDHU – Indus is also givers a fertile lands, washes up all dirt and Sins to make land pious and fertile.

    Nature and weather all are scientific and are natural phenomenon of god to make the all river to fulfil all that are supposed to do with cleaning the dirt’s and sins from there and make them pious and fertile for those pious people.

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